Best Bets for the Super Bowl

Hello internet, I’ll start these posts the same every time just so you guys know who you are dealing with. My name is Fabian and I have a gambling problem. I started betting on sports about a year and a half ago and have probably lost about 60% of my bets since I’ve started. BUT with that being said, I LOVE the board for the Super Bowl and there is no way that I lose (until I do). I went 1-1 last week and 7-5 since I started sharing my idiotic picks with the world.

Here are my best bets on the big game with my own dumb-gambling-sucker-brain analysis:

Chiefs vs. 49ers

Pick:

Chiefs -1 (-115)

Analysis:

The Chiefs offense is one of the most explosive I’ve seen in a while. Mahomes got off to a slower start this year than he had last year but the weapons he has with Kelce, Hill, and Watkins are unmatched. I’m still not sold on my paisan Garoppolo and there’s got to be a reason Mostert was cut like 7 times. Give me the Chiefs.

Pick:

Coin toss – Tails (even)

Analysis:

It never fails.

Pick:

There will be a successful 2 Pt conversion (+210)

Analysis:

I always root for chaos and 2 point conversions usually provide that.

Pick:

Sammy Watkins to score the first TD (+1100)

Analysis:

This is just a pure value pick for me. The guy only had 3 TDs during the regular season, but I think that means he’s due. It’s just math okay?

Pick:

Total Sack by both teams OVER 5.5 (+125)

Analysis:

I was shocked I got this at plus money. I feel like the 49ers could potentially hit the over on this by themselves. This is a hedge bet for me because if that happens, I’ll probably lose my Chiefs -1 bet. BUT I do think the Chiefs can get to my paisan once or twice during this game.

Pick:

Patrick Mahomes OVER 2.5 TD passes (-105)

Analysis:

The Chiefs don’t have much of a running game and this entire offense is centered around Mahomes throwing a gazillion times a game. The 49ers have the best defense in the league this year, but I don’t think their secondary is as good as their line.

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