Tight ends are one of the deeper positions in the fantasy world. To me as much as I will jump on a Kittle or Kelce if they fall in the third I usually like to wait. The position normally has a couple of late value guys who can make the leap into the top 10. For me this season I would love to get Andrews at a value or I will just punt the position. I will give you my take on Andrews followed by 3 late round guys to buy.
He was one of my favorite late round tight ends last year. I owned him in several leagues and he did not disappoint. This season he is a clear top 3 to me and I have toyed with the idea of moving him up even higher!
Last season Andrews finished top 5 in ppr formats and had a monster year. He was 7th in receptions at 64, had 852 yards and 10 total touchdowns which led the NFL. He did this all while posting a team 41.36% snap share! Andrews was banged up at times reports say and he had a medical condition that concerned the team. Yet I feel going into this year Andrews is ready for an even bigger workload which should only improve his stat line!
For one Hayden Hurst is gone which frees up a ton of snaps. The team also will use Andrews a ton in the slot again. Last season Andrews led NFL tight ends with yards per route in the slot. That is crucial because it shows the team is using him more as a primary pass catching tight end over blocking. Andres also lee the league in average target distance and was top 5 in yards per reception, contested catch rate and fantasy points per pass route. To me Andrews has a ceiling of the tight end 1 and a floor of tight end 5. He is a super late pick and if you can get him at the end of the 4th/ early 5th grab him!
There are a few reasons I believe Gesicki could be a true breakout in 2020. For one he enters the season going into his third year and is about to be 25. Historical trends show that the majority of tight ends have broken out between the 24-27 age threshold with their peak season being 25.
I also see Gesicki having a ton of work in the slot. Last season the top 4-5 tight ends had over 100 slot targets and had a high slot yardage per route. Gesicki was the only tight end last year to rank 20th or better in receiving yards from the slot and he did not get as much work. The coaching staff already came out and said he will be utilized that way creating mismatches.
Lastly Chan Gailey takes over as the offensive coordinator. Gailey has had a history of utilizing athletic tight ends a good amount in the passing game. Most notably was Tony Gonzalez who would eventually go on to have a hall of game career. Gesicki could end up being the number 2 receiver option with Preston Williams coming back from injury. I fully believe that there is a high chance that Gisecki could be a break out star for the 2020 season.
Hurst steps into a major role for 2020. Being traded to the Falcons could be a huge blessing for him. The Falcons have 258 vacated targets from last season to start. Austin Hooper played a huge role in this offense last season and I expect Hurst to see a similar role. In fact the team has already came out and said that they he will utilized almost as a full down player. To me that signifies their trust in him and it leaves room for ample opportunity.
We also have to mention on the outside there is Julio Jones and Calvin Ridley. Both players will draw attention of defenses that will leave holes in the middle of the field. Although Hurst did not flash much as a pass catcher in Baltimore I expect him to show a bit more of it in Atlanta. Not to mention he has the coach in Dirk Koetter who gets the most out of every tight end he has worked with. Look to grab him in rounds 7-9 with the possibility of being a top 5 tight end.
Smith was super efficient for his low amount of targets in 2019. Yet we have to remember he did not really get an opportunity until Delanie Walker got hurt. Down the stretch Smith started seeing more playing time and had several solid performances. One stat I love to see is his 2.33 fantasy points per target. Now I know the Titans will most likely be a run first team. Yet in my opinion they will have to throw a bit more as teams will continuously stack the box. The lost of Jack Conklin will be huge in my opinion. I expect a huge touchdown upside with the play action game. He is someone I am targeting in my leagues.